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China's Holiday Hustle: Tourism Surge Masks Economic Caution

Copyright Source: Yueke Mon, May 6, 2024
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Amidst China's recent Labor Day festivities, a notable uptick in tourism was observed, yet there's a cautionary tale hidden within the numbers: travelers tightened their purse strings, indicating a persisting sluggishness in the world's second-largest economy.
According to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, a staggering 295 million journeys were made within mainland China during the just-concluded five-day holiday, marking a 28% surge compared to the four-day Labor Day break in 2019. This surge, however, was met with restrained spending.
Labor Day tourism revenue reached 166.89 billion yuan ($23.6 billion), a mere 13.5% increase from 2019 levels. Delving deeper, the average spending per trip dropped by 6% to 565.73 yuan ($80), signaling a frugality unseen in years past.

PHOTO: Yueke

Similar restraint was witnessed at China's cinemas. Despite a noteworthy attendance of 37.77 million during the holiday, surpassing 2019 figures, ticket sales mirrored those of 2019 at 1.527 billion yuan ($215.7 million).
Economic headwinds, including a historic downturn in real estate—a major contributor to household wealth—have dented consumer sentiment. A recent report by TD Securities highlighted the wavering consumer confidence,evident in subdued retail spending momentum and a sharp decline in April's services PMI.

PHOTO: Yueke

The latest data paints a sobering picture: April's Caixin/S&P Global services PMI slipped to 52.5 from the previous month's 52.7, while the government's services sub-index plummeted to 50.3 in April, the lowest since January.
Retail sales growth decelerated to 3.1% in March from 5.5% in February, reflecting a cautious approach by consumers. Additionally, consumer inflation remained subdued at 0.1% in March, down from 0.7% in February, marking the first increase in six months.

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